围绕当前正面临巨大不确定性的全球经济和金融,艾伯特基金会上海代表处与上海发展研究基金会于11月23日联合举办了2021上海全球金融论坛,与来自中国、德国、美国及国际组织的专家学者开展了交流。
当前全球经济和金融正面临着巨大的不确定性,新冠疫情的冲击一波接着一波,新的变异层出不穷,这些都给全球经济带来了新的不确定性和负面影响。
为了消除新冠疫情的负面冲击,发达国家尤其是美国采取了量化宽松政策。这样做是必要的,但是它已经或将会造成通货膨胀的预期。当前美国CPI指数屡创新高,这种情况是否如有些人所认为的那样——是短暂的?还是持续的?这是大家所关注的,因为它会给全球经济带来巨大的冲击。
疫情使得一部分发展中国家在经济上困难重重,无法及时偿还其主权债务。G20与IMF已经两次对发展中国家的主权债务进行了减缓。这些措施是否有效?债务重组后,这些国家的经济是否可以持续发展?是否能够得到必要的资金支持?美联储退出量化宽松政策必将对其它国家,尤其是发展中国家带来冲击,就像全球金融危机后、2013年所发生的那样。发展中国家对此是否已经做好了充分的准备?
英国脱欧已经成为一个现实,它对欧洲大陆和英国经济分别带来了哪些影响?欧洲针对疫情提出的纾困措施是否能落实?欧洲的经济复苏是否能够持续?
今年8月15日是“尼克松冲击”、即布林顿森林体系崩溃50周年。布林顿森林体系的崩溃对全球的经济金融产生了巨大影响,尽管当时人们并未意识到,但是全球迎来了信用货币的时代,美元成为全球主要储备货币,这种状况持续到现在。但是这种状况是否会发生变化?如何变化?
围绕这些问题,艾伯特基金会上海代表处与上海发展研究基金会于11月23日联合举办了2021上海全球金融论坛,邀请来自国内外以及国际组织的专家学者通过线上线下的方式,对上述问题进行了探讨。
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Meier, Oliver; Staack, Michael
Bormann, René; Gaffron, Philine; Kucz, Ingo
Schwemmle, Michael; Wedde, Peter
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